Nuntius wrote:BrianInPhilly wrote:Nuntius wrote:
The reason I believe you will still win the series is twofold:
1) You have a significant experience advantage. Almost all of your guys have been in big games before. For our team, though, it's the first time that most of these guys are playing in those kind of games. Only Pascal, Turner and McConnell had playoff experience before this playoff season. We are just too early in our trajectory for this.
2) Your team is far too tough to lose at home. They have too much heart for that.
It's a 3-game series now and 2 of those games are in MSG. The combination of your team's heart and toughness and our team's inexperience makes me believe that it is very, very unlikely that we win in MSG. It's why HCA matters.
I appreciate your non-bias but I think you're going too far in the other direction to not seem like a homer, respectively. Pacers have a better shot of winning Game 5 than Knicks do in Game 6 in my opinion. Game 4 was just 1 game - but the Knicks just looked dead tired to me. That's not just gonna suddenly go away in 2 days by Tuesday. Game 5 will be THE GAME to in at MSG compared to Game 7, and Pacers gotta' rise up and do it. Sure theoretically they are "too early in the trajectory" for this, but things can happen suddenly. The Suns just what 3 years ago went to the Finals with young guys like Ayton, Bridges, and Cam Johnson playing huge roles. It's not out of the question for a young team to get far.
Pacers don't have much playoff experience but they're also not THAT YOUNG either. I mean once you get to your 4th/5th year, you should be seasoned enough for any moment in my opinion. So the only guys who are 3rd year or less guys are Nembhard & Sheppard and they're not asked to do much anyway other than defend and shoot when open. Roster complexities can changed a lot in a short amount of time & thought he Pacers "should" improve next couple years they also got their BIG 3 - Haliburton, Siakham, & Turner - in their Prime right now, and a spark plug guy like McConnell will be hard to replicate as he ages or moves on too. Time is now due to their chemistry - and their opponents injury - to seize the moment and get to the Conference Finals.
I do agree with you when it comes to your assessment of the Pacers. It's true that while young, we aren't THAT young. We were the 8th youngest team in the league, not the youngest one. And, indeed, given the injuries that our opponents have faced so far, this is a golden opportunity for us.
And, yes, I would like to believe that we can win that game 6 in Indy. I just don't know if I can believe that we can win one at MSG. The Nova trio turns into the 90s Bulls in MSG. And they're so good in the 4th. We have shown that, given the current circumstances, we can definitely hang with them, even in MSG. But can we actually close a game out in MSG? I am just not certain that we can.
Haha. I remember you from the 2013 Knicks-Pacers series. Wild. At this point, I think the series is a near-toss up, maybe 55/45 for the Knicks. Game 5 determines the outcome IMO, because game 6 will involve an extra day of rest. Knicks are experienced, tough, and gritty, but hugely undermanned and running on fumes. I never expected this to be our year anyway, but hope we can make the ECF after a difficult Round 2 loss last season. Don't want that again.