vvoland wrote:CDM_Stats wrote:Crazy-Canuck wrote:Slater just said that he guesses that klay starts for the rest of the season. Rip for moodys chances of starting.....ever for this team.
Moody dnps coming up with jks return.
Predictable as hell. Klay has a mini-run on the bench so of course that proves that he doesnt belong there, even though the entire year he's done better against backups and playing with CP3/size
I know its ultimately Kerr's fault, and also Klay's for the way he plays, but I'm irrationally angry at Podz for all this. Score the **** ball man. Shoot more, hunt for your shot, because if he did, maybe Kerr doesnt look to make a change. And we all knew that Moody was never going to get the start over a healthy Klay, Kerr flat out refuses the notion. So Podz got the opportunity, played Podz-sketball like does (which is still great, but not what we needed to put this **** to bed), and now he's back to being a reserve and we're right back where we started, except TJD's the one who is now going to be benched so we can go back to the a
lready failed lineup of Curry-Klay-Wiggins-JK-DrayBecause THIS TIME, I really think it will work. For no **** reason
Ummm, this lineup is +18pts per 100 possessions in 337 possessions, this season. Meaning they've outscored their opponent by 60 points in 3.3 games. Already failed? really? With so much to criticize with this year's team and lineup selection, this is the hill to die on?
First off, I dont think you understand what dying on a hill means. And so I'm going to ignore that nonsense and give an actual answer, for people who might have the same question but aren't trying to pick a fight with literally the entire board, because the shtick is old already
Because yes, failed. It started out white hot then petered out. It was going so well that Kerr arbitrarily took Klay out of the SL to put Podz in. Because they started out pummeling some weaker teams - namely PHI, MEM, and UTA and had a much, much higher +/-, and then were handled by actual playoff teams. To michael's point, they were still a net positive with the 5 together.
But this is where statistical literacy comes into play, because the data itself is useless if not applied correctly. When they took Kuminga out of the reserve squad, and effectively placed him in the lineup for Looney, if left the bench effectively in shambles. CP3/GP2/Podz/Saric/Looney/Moody/TJD were the bench options then. The defense and offense suffered, there was an entire imbalance of skillsets, and if it werent for pummeling some crappy teams in a favorable schedule, that lineup would be closer to breaking even than the one with Podz in Klay's place. If you look at the effect on reserve units in both situations, its not even close.
Now that doesnt account for what the Podz lineup did against bad teams too - they also did well against them. Didnt run up the score as high against the bad teams, but still handily beat them. But more importantly, were a +5.3 (net100) against .500+ teams, whereas the one w Klay was a +1.3
And thats before factoring in that Kuminga @ PF and Dray @ C is not sustainable, especially not for as long as Kerr plays the starters together (16mpg roughly). Or before regularizing stats, like thinking Curry/Wiggins/Dray wont shoot a combined 50%+ from 3pt, that a significant falloff in better predictors like rebounding, fouls, turnovers won't eventually bottom out the impact, which it started to do before Kerr switched to Podz to immediately improved results. Its trap data and people who've been gambling a while see it coming a mile away.. a Curry hot streak and a smattering of weak opponents
This is why tracking >>>> metrics. Metrics have 0 context. Anyways, glad to see Kerr's taking stats at face value too, apparently. Not like we need him to be pinpoint to win