Re: PLAYOFFS: Wild Card Series Game # 1: Mariners @ Blue Jays - Fri Oct 7 4pm EST
Posted: Sat Oct 8, 2022 7:36 pm
Schad wrote:Hottie McShotty wrote:It's not a myth. We've been mashing on average to poor pitching. I'd like to see what our avg is against good pitching.
Let's look at the Jays against elite pitching, then. The top ten (non-Jays) pitchers by fWAR in the AL were Verlander, Ohtani, Bieber, Valdez, Cease, Perez, McKenzie, McClanahan, Cole, and Gilbert. They have an average ERA of 2.70 against baseball as a whole. Against the Jays:
Verlander - 3 ER in 6 IP.
Ohtani - 5 ER in 13 IP.
Bieber - 9 ER in 10.1 IP.
Valdez - 3 ER in 6.1 IP.
Cease - 0 ER in 6 IP.
Perez - 1 ER in 6 IP.
McKenzie - 2 ER in 6.2 IP.
McClanahan - 5 ER in 17 IP.
Cole - 10 ER in 18 IP.
Gilbert - 7 ER in 13 IP.
So, in 102.1 IP against the best pitching the American League had to offer, the Jays hung an ERA of 3.96 on them. More than a full earned run per nine better than the rest of baseball. That isn't merely good, it's stellar. 3.96 happens to be the league-average ERA this year, so the Jays quite literally made the best pitchers in the AL look average all year.
As is quickly becoming a theme, your assertion has no basis in reality.
Our good teams in 2015-2016 had a serious feast of famine flaw. They flat out struck out too much.
This team IMO doesn't have the high end scoring ability of those teams but it also isn't as susceptible to tank like they could.
Assuming we're not running Mitch White up against a true number 1 I like our chances against anyone. Yesterday sucked, they'll be better today.